Pre-tourney Rankings
Illinois St.
Missouri Valley
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.3#236
Expected Predictive Rating-4.5#238
Pace62.1#307
Improvement-1.7#249

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#243
Improvement-1.6#261

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#236
Improvement-0.1#185
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2010 341   SIU Edwardsville W 92-64 94%     1 - 0 +6.2 -10.2 -10.4
  Nov 17, 2010 240   Tennessee St. W 73-68 63%     2 - 0 -2.7 -3.6 -3.9
  Nov 21, 2010 218   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 54-63 34%     2 - 1 -8.9 -0.5 +0.2
  Nov 26, 2010 296   South Dakota W 81-63 77%     3 - 1 +6.1 -5.8 -5.3
  Nov 27, 2010 323   Louisiana Monroe W 59-55 85%     4 - 1 -11.2 -8.0 -6.9
  Nov 28, 2010 284   Jacksonville St. W 60-47 74%     5 - 1 +2.1 -5.3 -4.8
  Dec 01, 2010 26   UNLV L 51-82 10%     5 - 2 -21.4 +3.9 +4.3
  Dec 04, 2010 247   Montana St. W 62-56 65%     6 - 2 -2.2 -4.3 -3.6
  Dec 08, 2010 155   Ohio L 65-67 42%     6 - 3 -4.3 -1.5 -0.9
  Dec 11, 2010 249   Illinois-Chicago W 53-43 65%     7 - 3 +1.7 -4.7 -3.1
  Dec 20, 2010 213   @ UNC Wilmington W 62-60 OT 33%     8 - 3 +2.2 +0.0 +0.4
  Dec 29, 2010 119   Creighton L 53-64 35%     8 - 4 0 - 1 -11.2 -0.7 -0.2
  Jan 01, 2011 79   @ Missouri St. L 71-82 11%     8 - 5 0 - 2 -1.8 +4.8 +3.9
  Jan 04, 2011 118   @ Indiana St. L 57-72 16%     8 - 6 0 - 3 -8.8 +3.0 +2.4
  Jan 07, 2011 63   Wichita St. L 51-65 19%     8 - 7 0 - 4 -8.9 +1.6 +2.9
  Jan 09, 2011 230   @ Southern Illinois L 59-63 35%     8 - 8 0 - 5 -4.4 -0.4 -0.2
  Jan 12, 2011 127   Northern Iowa L 44-46 36%     8 - 9 0 - 6 -2.6 -1.2 +0.5
  Jan 15, 2011 184   Evansville L 54-59 50%     8 - 10 0 - 7 -9.3 -2.8 -1.8
  Jan 18, 2011 205   @ Drake L 68-76 32%     8 - 11 0 - 8 -7.6 -0.1 +0.2
  Jan 23, 2011 230   Southern Illinois W 59-55 59%     9 - 11 1 - 8 -2.7 -3.6 -3.0
  Jan 26, 2011 196   @ Bradley W 79-78 OT 30%     10 - 11 2 - 8 +2.3 +0.5 +0.8
  Jan 30, 2011 205   Drake W 77-75 OT 56%     11 - 11 3 - 8 -3.9 -2.8 -3.0
  Feb 02, 2011 127   @ Northern Iowa L 51-53 17%     11 - 12 3 - 9 +3.8 +2.4 +3.2
  Feb 05, 2011 63   @ Wichita St. L 57-74 8%     11 - 13 3 - 10 -5.5 +5.3 +5.4
  Feb 09, 2011 118   Indiana St. L 46-56 35%     11 - 14 3 - 11 -10.2 -0.9 +0.2
  Feb 12, 2011 79   Missouri St. L 59-68 25%     11 - 15 3 - 12 -6.1 +1.0 +1.4
  Feb 16, 2011 119   @ Creighton L 59-75 17%     11 - 16 3 - 13 -9.9 +2.9 +2.4
  Feb 19, 2011 168   @ Western Michigan L 65-68 24%     11 - 17 +0.0 +1.3 +1.6
  Feb 22, 2011 196   Bradley W 51-50 53%     12 - 17 4 - 13 -4.1 -3.3 -1.7
  Feb 26, 2011 184   @ Evansville L 67-73 27%     12 - 18 4 - 14 -3.9 +0.9 +0.9
  Mar 03, 2011 230   Southern Illinois L 54-57 47%     12 - 19 -6.5 -2.1 -1.6
Projected Record 12.0 - 19.0 4.0 - 14.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%